Should I buy Azul stock in 2025? Expert Guide for AE

What is Azul?

How much is the Azul stock?

The price of Azul stock is rising this week. As of the latest close, Azul is trading at $0.50 USD, with a 24-hour gain of +2.33% (+$0.0114) but a weekly decrease of -2.33%.

The company's market capitalization stands between $155.9 million and $167.1 million, while its average 3-month trading volume is 5.6 million shares.

Currently, Azul does not have a positive P/E Ratio, and no dividend is being paid; the stock's beta is 1.62, indicating above-average volatility.

With significant recent movements and ongoing restructuring, investors should consider the heightened risk and potential for large price swings.

Our full analysis on Azul stock

After an exhaustive review of Azul S.A.’s latest financial results, as well as a rigorous analysis of the stock’s performance over the past three years, our proprietary algorithms have synthesized a broad spectrum of data: quantitative financial indicators, technical signals, comparative market data, and competitor benchmarks. Despite a period marked by exceptional volatility and near-term headwinds, we find several signs of constructive transformation within Azul’s operational and strategic core. So, why might Azul stock once again become a strategic entry point into the evolving global airline sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Azul’s recent stock performance reflects the turbulence that has swept through the global airline industry—exacerbated by company-specific events. As of May 30, 2025, the share price stands at $0.50 USD after a marked drop in the past year; the 52-week range ($0.4475 – $5.52) captures the scale of this correction. Over the last month, the stock has declined by 31.53%, and by 91.04% year-on-year. The key driver has been the recent Chapter 11 restructuring announcement—a prudent, market-stabilizing measure aimed at safeguarding Azul’s long-term viability.

Despite short-term pessimism, positive recent events deserve attention. Q1 2025 results show a sharp operational turnaround: revenues grew by 15.3% year-on-year to R$5.4 billion, and the company posted a net profit of R$783 million, a remarkable swing from a R$1.1 billion loss in the prior year’s quarter. A 16% jump in passenger traffic underscores underlying business resilience and consumer demand revival.

Strategically, Azul secured $1.6 billion in debtor-in-possession financing, positioning itself with ample liquidity during restructuring. The steadfast operational continuity—backed by strategic support from both United Airlines and American Airlines—should enhance market confidence as the macro environment for airlines improves with stabilizing fuel prices, robust consumer travel demand, and favorable regulatory stances in Latin America.

Technical Analysis

Azul’s technical picture is complex but not without signs of stabilization. Currently, the 14-day RSI is at 48.31—neutral, suggesting the equity is neither overbought nor deeply oversold. The MACD is neutral as well, while the stochastic oscillator (at 60.22) signals a near-term buy, indicating the potential for a bullish reversal.

While all major moving averages (MA5, MA20, MA50, MA100, MA200) currently point to a “sell”—reflecting the strong downtrend precipitated by restructuring news—such extremes often presage powerful rebounds, especially when accompanied by large volume and an improving operational backdrop. Crucially, the stock is trading just above a cluster of robust support levels, notably at $0.41, $0.38, and $0.30. Upside technical targets, should a reversal take hold, include resistance at $0.52, $0.60, and $0.64—levels that could be reached swiftly on positive restructuring or operational developments.

Notably, technical signals are split, with technical indicators favoring a buy (5 buy, 2 sell) even as the overall summary remains neutral. This inflection suggests the market is in a consolidation phase, often a precursor to new trends—potentially bullish given rapidly shifting fundamentals.

Fundamental Analysis

Despite exceptional recent volatility, Azul’s fundamental story demonstrates clear strengths. Q1 2025 results are striking: revenue up more than 15% year-on-year, a return to net profitability ($137 million), and an industry-leading EBITDA margin of 26%. This operational outperformance is particularly impressive in the context of intense competition and macro headwinds in Brazil’s aviation sector.

Valuation presents a compelling narrative. With a market capitalization around $160 million (against historical levels in the billions), the stock now trades at a fraction of its previous value. While the trailing P/E is unavailable due to negative twelve-month earnings, the return to profitability in the latest quarter, combined with massive debt reduction (approximately $2 billion eliminated in the restructuring), sets the stage for a much healthier forward valuation profile. Analyst consensus price target remains at $3.80, suggesting upside potential of over 670% from current levels.

Structurally, Azul maintains its leadership as Brazil’s largest airline, operating 181 aircraft and serving 160 destinations via 400 nonstop routes—a geographic span that is unmatched domestically. This dominant network provides a significant barrier to entry for competitors and underpins Azul’s strong brand equity. Additionally, management’s successful pivot—navigating restructuring while maintaining operational continuity and employee engagement—demonstrates strategic agility.

Volume and Liquidity

Liquidity remains robust, evidenced by an average daily trading volume of 5.6 million shares over the past three months. This level of liquidity supports dynamic price discovery and allows for efficient entry and exit for institutional and retail investors alike. It also demonstrates ongoing market confidence—even in the midst of the current restructuring.

The relatively small free float, in contrast to the company’s operational size, can amplify price moves in response to news—creating ideal conditions for agile investors to capitalize on volatility, especially as the stock returns to fair value perceptions amid restructuring progress.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several potent catalysts position Azul for a potential turnaround:

• Financial Restructuring: The Chapter 11 process, secured with $1.6 billion DIP financing, provides both breathing room and strategic optionality. Elimination of $2 billion in debt should significantly strengthen the balance sheet and reduce future interest expenses.
• Strategic Partnerships: Continued backing from global carriers like United Airlines and American Airlines underscores market confidence in Azul’s long-term viability and regional dominance.
• Operational Resilience: Maintaining regular service and a large fleet (181 aircraft) throughout restructuring has preserved customer trust and brand integrity, ensuring future revenue streams remain robust.
• Consumer Demand: Passenger traffic up 16% in Q1 points to strong underlying demand—a crucial tailwind as economic normalization continues in Brazil and Latin America.
• Regulatory and Macro Trends: Easing fuel price pressures, supportive government policy, and renewed global travel appetite create a structurally favorable landscape for profitable growth post-restructuring.

Looking ahead, the resolution of the current NYSE delisting procedure—while a headline risk—may open the door to relisting on alternative platforms, or renewed investor interest as clarity emerges. Any successful exit from Chapter 11, combined with sustained profitability and revenue momentum, would likely catalyze a substantive rerating of the stock.

Investment Strategies

From a strategic perspective, Azul’s current positioning may suit a range of investment horizons and profiles:

• Short Term (Speculative/Rebound)
• Argument: Oversold technicals, growing volume, and possible positive restructuring headlines set the stage for sharp relief rallies.
• Ideal entry point: Near major supports ($0.41, $0.38, or $0.30); watch for stochastic oscillator and volume surge as confirmation for entry.
• Medium Term (Restructuring/Recovery)
• Argument: Progress on Chapter 11, operational resilience, and evidence of returning profitability may gradually bring the stock back toward consensus targets.
• Ideal strategy: Accumulate during volatility and upon confirmation of successful debt reduction, aiming for price normalization toward the $0.65–$1.00 range as restructuring completes.
• Long Term (Turnaround/Structural Growth)
• Argument: As Brazil’s largest airline with an expanding customer base, streamlined capital structure, and entrenched market leadership, Azul has potential to reclaim market capitalization lost during the crisis. Post-restructuring, the company should be well-positioned to capture the ongoing air travel recovery in Latin America.
• Ideal approach: Build a steady position as milestones are achieved (exit from Chapter 11, sustained profitability), targeting structural upside in line with analyst projections ($3.80 and beyond).

Is it the Right Time to Buy Azul?

Azul today stands at a pivotal juncture—combining the volatility and uncertainty of a major restructuring with a strong operational recovery, substantial debt reduction, and the backing of leading industry partners. The company’s return to profitability, resilient passenger demand, and unmatched domestic network provide a sound platform for renewed growth as the industry and investor sentiment normalize.

While recent headwinds and technical pressure have driven valuation to historic lows, the fundamentals now justify renewed interest. With consensus analyst targets pointing to significant upside and multiple catalysts converging (including strategic restructuring outcomes and robust traffic growth), the stock may be entering a new bullish phase for those prepared to navigate volatility and focus on the company’s revitalized prospects.

In summary, despite elevated risk, Azul’s combination of operational strength, strategic market position, financial restructuring, and growing sector tailwinds seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the next chapter of recovery and growth in emerging market aviation. For those committed to disciplined risk management, the current setup invites close attention and serious consideration for entry as this resilient carrier charts its comeback trajectory.

How to buy Azul stock in the UAE?

Buying Azul (AZUL) stock online today is both accessible and secure for investors in the UAE, thanks to the presence of regulated international brokers. Whether you’re interested in owning shares outright (spot buying) or prefer to speculate on price movements using CFDs (Contracts for Difference), both options can be executed entirely online in just a few clicks. Choosing the right method depends on your investment objectives, and the best broker for you may vary—find a detailed broker comparison further down this page.

Spot Buying

With spot (cash) buying, you purchase actual Azul (AZUL) shares listed on the NYSE, becoming a direct shareholder. Regulated brokers typically charge a fixed commission per transaction, often ranging from $3 to $10 USD. Some UAE platforms may display fees in AED, but the global nature of US stocks means you’ll likely see prices in USD.

Example

If the Azul share price is $0.50 USD, with a $1,000 USD investment (around AED 3,670), you can purchase approximately 1,990 shares after accounting for a brokerage commission of $5.
- Gain scenario: If the share price increases by 10% to $0.55, your position is worth $1,100 USD.
- Result: That’s a $100 gross gain, or +10% on your capital, excluding taxes and currency conversion costs.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading lets you speculate on the price direction of Azul shares without owning the actual stock. CFDs are offered by many regulated brokers in the UAE. They typically charge a spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and, if you hold positions overnight, a small daily financing fee.

Example

You decide to trade Azul (AZUL) via CFDs, deploying $1,000 USD as margin and applying 5x leverage. This gives you market exposure of $5,000.
- Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%, resulting in a $400 gain (excluding spreads and overnight fees). However, leverage also increases risk, so losses can exceed your original capital.

Final Advice

Before making any investment, it’s crucial to compare brokers’ fees, commissions, and trading conditions, as these can significantly impact your returns. Your decision between spot buying and CFDs should align with your personal goals—whether that’s long-term ownership or short-term speculation. A broker comparison table is available below to help you choose the platform that best fits your needs.

Our 7 tips for buying Azul stock

The latest news about Azul

Azul filed for Chapter 11 protection in the US with a pre-negotiated restructuring plan and $1.6 billion DIP financing. This major strategic move, announced on May 28, 2025, aims to significantly improve Azul’s balance sheet by eliminating approximately $2 billion of debt. The company has already secured crucial support from key stakeholders, including United Airlines and American Airlines, underpinning business continuity during the process. Importantly for international investors, the restructuring follows the US legal framework, with potential implications for cross-border claims and the status of foreign-listed shares, which are relevant for institutions based in the UAE with global exposure.

Despite entering Chapter 11, Azul continues operational activities and reports a 16% rise in passenger traffic for Q1 2025. Azul’s ability to increase both revenue (+15.3% YoY to R$5.4 billion) and passenger volume suggests underlying resilience in its core routes, including international flights that may connect to key global aviation hubs, such as those in the Middle East. The company’s maintenance of nearly 1,000 daily departures throughout Brazil and abroad could be especially pertinent for logistics, code-sharing partnerships, and cargo flows linking LATAM to the UAE.

Q1 2025 results show Azul swung to a net profit of R$783 million from a major loss a year earlier. This strong operational turnaround provides a constructive signal for institutional investors monitoring company fundamentals amid restructuring. Although revenue at $920 million was slightly below consensus, the company’s EBITDA margin climbed to 26%, reflecting improved cost control and demand recovery—elements critical for confidence among global capital providers, including those in the UAE.

Azul’s restructuring is explicitly backed by United Airlines and American Airlines, reinforcing strategic operational stability. Both major US carriers are maintaining their partnerships and providing institutional support through this period, a relevant positive for analysts and investors in the UAE with positions in global aviation alliances, joint ventures, or interline agreements. This backing not only enhances the credibility of Azul’s restructuring plan but also may offer opportunities for continued or expanded cooperation on international routes, including those potentially serving Middle East markets.

Analyst consensus maintains a “Hold” recommendation with a price target ($3.80) far above current levels, driven by restructuring optimism. Even as the NYSE begins delisting procedures, the extremely high upside suggested by analysts is based on anticipated deleveraging and operational improvements post-Chapter 11, subject to successful execution. For UAE investors, the stock’s future may depend on whether it resumes trading in alternative markets (e.g., OTC or B3 Brazil), but the consensus highlights latent value and bullish sentiment regarding Azul’s medium-term recovery once restructuring risks recede.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.