Should I buy MPLX stock in 2025? UAE Investor Guide

What is MPLX?

How much is the MPLX stock?

The price of MPLX stock is rising this week. As of the latest market close, MPLX is trading at $50.91, reflecting a 24-hour gain of $0.05 (+0.10%), while showing a slight decrease of 0.59% over the past week. The company’s current market capitalization stands at $51.97 billion, with an average 3-month daily trading volume of 1.8 million shares. MPLX offers a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.75 and an attractive annual dividend yield of 7.52%, with a stock beta of 0.64, indicating modest volatility compared to the broader market. With a solid yield and relatively stable price movements, MPLX presents a compelling investment profile for income-focused investors in the UAE market.

Our full analysis on the MPLX stock

Having conducted a rigorous review of MPLX LP’s latest financial results—alongside a deep dive into its stock price evolution over the past three years—we have utilized our proprietary algorithms to synthesize financial indicators, technical analysis, peer comparison, and sectoral insights. The resulting picture reveals a stock that is increasingly garnering attention within global infrastructure portfolios, notably due to robust operational momentum and disciplined capital management. So, why might MPLX stock once again become a strategic entry point into the critical North American energy infrastructure sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

MPLX LP’s recent share price action stands out favorably in a competitive energy landscape. As of 30 May 2025, the stock trades at $50.91—just off its 52-week high of $54.87—reflecting a YTD gain of 6.37% and a remarkable 25.15% advance over the prior 12 months. This performance persists despite moderate sector volatility and a modest six-month dip of 1.45%, highlighting MPLX’s reputation for stability amid macroeconomic shifts.

The past year has seen the company outpace key indices and many midstream peers, propelled by carefully executed growth projects and well-timed strategic acquisitions. In particular, MPLX finalized the purchase of the remaining 55% of BANGL Pipeline, increased ownership in the Matterhorn Express Pipeline, and acquired Whiptail Midstream. These transactions not only consolidate core asset holdings but also reinforce the company’s position as a pivotal infrastructure enabler in the high-growth Permian, Marcellus, and Utica basins.

The macro backdrop further supports MPLX’s trajectory. Global energy demand continues to expand, with North America positioned as an epicenter for both upstream and midstream investment. U.S. natural gas and liquids infrastructure remains essential, while the company’s strong domestic footprint and asset integration make it exceptionally well-placed to capture growth—an aspect increasingly noted by international investors, including those in the UAE, seeking reliable dollar-denominated yield and sector leadership.

Technical Analysis

The technical pulse of MPLX is notably constructive, with the stock displaying both resilience and potential for new highs. Several key indicators underpin this positive stance:

• Relative Strength Index (14 days): Neutral at 52.87, signaling that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold—a classic setup for further accumulation phases.
• MACD (12,26): Currently at 0.24, labeled a sell, but this is counteracted by multiple moving average signals, which provide strong bullish momentum on both short- and longer-term horizons.
• Moving Averages: The 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day simple moving averages all flash “buy” signals, with the current price maintaining a clear uptrend above key support thresholds.
• Support and Resistance: The $50.22 Fibonacci cluster emerges as robust support, while $51.70 is flagged as the next technical resistance. A definitive break above this could open the path toward the median analyst target of $57.50—and potentially to the upper range of $66.18, marking a +30% upside.

Market structure indicates healthy participation, and there’s a predominant bullish consensus among technical analysts: 14 bullish, 5 neutral, and just 3 bearish signals reinforce the prevailing positive sentiment. The combination of firmness at key levels and upside technical bias sets an encouraging backdrop for fresh entries, particularly for investors seeking an optimal balance of growth and income.

Fundamental Analysis

The 2025 financials underscore MPLX’s disciplined execution and strategic vision:

• Revenue Growth: Q1 2025 revenue reached $3.12 billion, up 10% year-on-year, complemented by a 7% rise in adjusted EBITDA ($1.757 billion) and a 12% advance in net income ($1.126 billion).
• Profitability: Earnings per unit (EPU) for Q1 came in at $1.10, beating analyst consensus—a sign of both conservative guidance and operational outperformance.
• Dividend Yield: The current yield stands at a robust 7.52%, with quarterly distributions of $0.9565 per unit and a healthy 1.5x distribution coverage, indicating sustainability and room for growth.
• Valuation: MPLX trades at a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.75—well below many midstream and infrastructure peers—offering a compelling blend of value and growth. Its PEG and Price-to-Sales ratios underline a mispricing that could correct on further positive newsflow.
• Structural Strengths: MPLX’s leadership in North American energy logistics is anchored by diversified assets—pipelines, terminals, and fractionation plants supported by long-term, investment-grade contracts. Strategic partnerships, notably with Marathon Petroleum, reinforce both volume reliability and capital efficiency.

This combination of steady revenue growth, sector-leading yields, disciplined capital deployment, and attractive valuation multiples substantially strengthens the investment case. The company’s long-term prospects are buoyed by steady cash flows and a scalable, diversified asset base.

Volume and Liquidity

MPLX exhibits strong and consistent trading volume, with a three-month average of 1.8 million shares daily. This liquidity ensures narrow bid-ask spreads and efficient price discovery. The public float of 365.68 million units, while not excessive relative to the 1.02 billion total outstanding, is more than sufficient to sustain dynamic valuations and support institutional interest.

Moreover, the presence of Marathon Petroleum as a major holder (63.4%) provides both stability and strategic alignment, while the remaining public float allows for healthy market participation and reflects broad-based investor confidence.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

A suite of powerful medium-term catalysts supports MPLX’s bullish profile:

• Acquisitions & Asset Expansion: The full consolidation of BANGL Pipeline, expansion in the Matterhorn Express, and acquisition of Whiptail Midstream deliver immediate EBITDA accretion and future-proof the business.
• Growth Projects: The $1.75 bcf/d Traverse Pipeline and the buildout of two major Gulf Coast fractionation plants (due 2028 & 2029) ensure a robust pipeline of organic growth.
• Infrastructure Positioning: Key initiatives such as the Blackcomb and Rio Bravo pipelines (commissioning expected late 2026) and a partnership with ONEOK for a 400,000 bpd LPG export terminal deepen MPLX’s control over critical value chains.
• Volume Growth: A 5% uplift in natural gas gathering volumes, alongside expanding NGL handling capability, positions MPLX to benefit from secular trends in U.S. energy consumption and exports.
• Sustainability & ESG: MPLX continues to advance ESG initiatives, mitigating environmental impacts while supporting community-driven infrastructure, a growing focus for global allocators.
• Analyst Sentiment: Consensus targets indicate a 13%-30% potential upside, reflecting systematic optimism based on project pipeline, cash flow visibility, and yield appeal.

These elements combine to form a narrative of continuous value creation—backed by tangible projects and a credible execution history. As North American energy infrastructure enters a new investment cycle, MPLX is exceptionally biased toward outsized gains.

Investment Strategies

MPLX presents multiple compelling entry strategies for a variety of investor time horizons:

• Short-Term (technical swing): With the stock consolidating above $50.22 support and approaching the $51.70 resistance level, tactical entries geared toward breakouts or post-earnings momentum appear well-supported by recent volume surges and positive technical signals.
• Medium-Term (catalyst-driven): Acquisitions closing, upcoming project milestones (notably Traverse and Gulf Coast expansions), and anticipated increases in quarterly cash distributions position MPLX attractively for medium-term capital appreciation and yield harvesting.
• Long-Term (strategic accumulation): Given the company’s dominant competitive positioning, sustainable cash flows, and pipeline of organic/inorganic projects extending through 2029, dollar-cost averaging or accumulation on any technical pullbacks (notably toward the $50 area or post-ex-dividend retracements) would seem highly justified as part of a diversified, income-seeking portfolio.

The timing—proximate to both key technical support and ahead of transformative strategic catalysts—appears particularly favorable for investors seeking robust risk-adjusted returns.

Is it the Right Time to Buy MPLX?

To summarize, MPLX showcases an optimal combination of growth, income, and defensive characteristics: sector-leading dividend yield, attractive valuation, and visible cash flow growth through 2025 and beyond. The company’s successful major acquisitions, expanding asset base, and continuous project pipeline highlight structural strengths rare in today’s infrastructure sector. Technical and fundamental analyses both reinforce a positive outlook, while strong liquidity, focused governance, and support from strategic partners further enhance the investment proposition.

With multiple upside catalysts, a consensus analyst target of $57.50, and scope for a re-rating as new projects come online, MPLX appears to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the resilient and high-growth North American energy infrastructure segment. The convergence of stable income, capital appreciation potential, and disciplined capital management makes this a stock that warrants serious consideration at current levels.

As global energy demand evolves and infrastructure assets become ever more strategic, MPLX stands out as a platform with solid foundations and significant expansion potential—an opportunity that long-term, income-oriented investors may find especially compelling in the current environment.

How to buy MPLX stock in the UAE?

Buying MPLX stock online is both simple and secure when you use a regulated broker in the UAE. Investors typically have two main options: buying the shares outright (“spot buying”) or trading via contracts for difference (CFDs), each catering to different strategies. Spot buying means you own MPLX stock directly, while CFDs allow you to speculate on price movements with leverage. To find the broker and method best aligned with your goals, it’s crucial to compare fees, features, and protections—which we detail further down the page.

Spot buying

A cash purchase of MPLX stock means you buy and own the shares directly on the New York Stock Exchange, benefiting from any dividends and price appreciation. Most UAE brokers charge a fixed commission per order in AED or USD—typically around $5 to $7 USD (about AED 18-25) per trade.

For example

With MPLX trading at $50.91 per share, a $1,000 investment (approx. AED 3,670) allows you to buy about 19 shares ($50.91 × 19 = $967.29), after accounting for a $5 trading fee (approx. AED 18.4).

• Gain scenario: If MPLX’s share price rises by 10%, your shares would be worth about $1,100 (10% gain on $1,000).
• Result: +$100 gross gain, or +10% on your invested amount.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading enables you to speculate on MPLX share price movements without actually owning the shares. You can use leverage—meaning you invest a smaller amount to gain amplified market exposure. Fees include the spread (difference between buy/sell prices) and overnight financing charges if you hold the position beyond a day.

For example

If you invest $1,000 in a CFD on MPLX with 5x leverage, your exposure is $5,000.

• Gain scenario: If MPLX shares increase by 8%, your CFD position gains 8% x 5 = 40%.
• Result: +$400 gain on your $1,000 stake (excluding broker fees and overnight costs).

Final advice

Before investing, always compare brokers’ fees, trading conditions, and the security of platforms—these factors can make a significant difference to your long-term results. Ultimately, your choice between owning MPLX shares directly or trading CFDs should reflect your investment objectives, risk appetite, and time horizon. Need help deciding? Consult the detailed broker comparison located further down this page to find your ideal match.

Our 7 tips for buying MPLX stock

The latest news about MPLX

MPLX surpassed analysts’ expectations in Q1 2025 with robust earnings and steady revenue growth. The company posted revenue of $3.12 billion, representing a 10% increase from the prior year, and reported an adjusted EBITDA of $1.757 billion, up 7% year-over-year. Net profit reached $1.126 billion, marking a solid 12% rise, and Q1 earnings per share came in at $1.10—$0.03 above the consensus expectation. This outperformance continues to reinforce MPLX’s reputation for strong financial execution and supports its high annualized yield of 7.52%, providing investors, including those in the AE region seeking stable USD-linked income streams, with an appealing risk-reward profile.

Recent strategic acquisitions have expanded MPLX’s infrastructure footprint and long-term growth potential. In the past week, MPLX completed the acquisition of the remaining 55% interest in the BANGL pipeline for $715 million, consolidating full ownership. The company also raised its stake in the Matterhorn Express pipeline to 10% with a $151 million investment and secured key crude gathering assets from Whiptail Midstream for $237 million. These deals reinforce MPLX’s dominant position in the US energy midstream sector, which is vital for UAE-based institutional investors and sovereign wealth funds with exposure to global energy logistics.

MPLX’s strong technical and market signals indicate sustained positive momentum and potential for capital gains. Despite a marginal weekly decline, technical indicators as of May 30, 2025, remain constructive: short- and medium-term moving averages all point to a ‘buy’ signal, and consensus technical opinion is bullish, with 14 positive signals. Analyst sentiment is optimistic with a consensus median target of $57.50, suggesting a 13% upside from the current price, a perspective of high interest to AE investors seeking growth alongside yield in USD assets.

Ongoing growth initiatives and infrastructure projects support forward-looking earnings and regional relevance. MPLX has moved forward with major projects, including final investment approval for the Traverse bi-directional gas pipeline (1.75 bcf/d) and planning major Gulf Coast fractionation installations. The company is also partnering with ONEOK for a 400,000 bpd LPG export terminal and aims to expand natural gas collections by 5%. These developments are critical in supporting the growing US-to-global hydrocarbons supply chain, a factor of strategic importance for AE economies and investors with stakes in energy trade, infrastructure, and supply reliability.

MPLX’s resilient balance sheet, high liquidity, and capital return program strengthen its investment appeal. As of the latest quarter, MPLX carried $2.53 billion in cash and access to $2 billion in credit, maintaining a conservative leverage ratio of 3.3x well within its target range. The partnership authorized $100 million in unit repurchases in Q1 and has $420 million remaining for buybacks, underlining management’s focus on value creation. The cushion in distributable cash flow (1.5x coverage) and the consistent return of capital reinforce MPLX’s attractiveness for AE-based investors seeking both stability and growth opportunities aligned to global energy market trends.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.