Should I Buy Intuitive Machines Stock in 2025? Insights for UAE Investors

What is Intuitive Machines?

How much is the Intuitive Machines stock?

The price of Intuitive Machines stock is declining this week. As of now, the stock trades at $11.95, reflecting a 2.37% drop over the last 24 hours and a 5.38% decrease for the week. The company’s market capitalization stands at $1.40 billion, with a robust 3-month average trading volume of 10.84 million shares. No current P/E Ratio is available due to ongoing losses, and there is no dividend yield. The stock’s beta is 1.32, indicating significant volatility compared to the broader market. Investors in the AE region should be aware that this high-growth aerospace stock offers both remarkable upside potential and notable risk given its volatility.

Our full analysis of the Intuitive Machines stock

We have conducted a rigorous, multi-source analysis of Intuitive Machines’ (NASDAQ: LUNR) latest financial disclosures and its robust market trajectory over the past three years. Leveraging an integrated approach that melds key financial indicators, advanced technical signals, comparative market data, and proprietary competitor scoring, we identify foundational strengths and emerging opportunities in the company’s current profile. So, why might Intuitive Machines stock once again become a strategic entry point for investors seeking exposure to the next evolution of the space and advanced technologies sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Over the past twelve months, Intuitive Machines has delivered an extraordinary performance: its share price has surged by over 138%, outperforming both the S&P 500 and the majority of its aerospace and defense peers. Despite a recent retracement—down 26.9% over the last six months—the stock maintains an impressive long-term uptrend, with the current price at $11.95 as of May 30, 2025. This recent consolidation comes on the heels of significant operational achievements, including a 14% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in Q1 2025 and key new mission contracts, providing strong foundations for renewed investor interest.

The sector backdrop remains highly favorable, driven by the surge in global government and commercial investment into lunar infrastructure, space data transmission, and orbital logistics. Key partnerships, such as Intuitive Machines’ recent selection by SpaceX and the Texas Space Commission, reinforce its pivotal role in the emerging commercial lunar economy—a trend widely expected to benefit leading tech innovators through 2025 and beyond.

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators underscore a positive momentum bias. The 14-day RSI stands between 61.45 and 64.9, reflecting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, but pointing to a healthy trend with further upside potential. The MACD maintains a positive reading at 0.82, supporting the view of continued bullish sentiment. Short-term and long-term moving averages remain aligned to the upside, with the price above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages—often a prelude to extended bullish runs.

• Support: $11.93 (recent daily low), a level that has held firm throughout recent market volatility.
• Resistance: $12.77 (recent high), marking the next potential breakout area.
• 52-week range: $3.15 – $24.95, illustrating the stock’s significant volatility and capacity for strong upside moves.

Recent price action and volume confirm a bullish recovery structure. Notably, the stock’s consolidation near key support fosters an ideal scenario for re-entry ahead of anticipated upward catalysts.

Fundamental Analysis

Intuitive Machines’ financial trajectory is marked by sustained topline expansion and operational improvement. Q1 2025 revenues hit $62.5 million—up 14% sequentially—and management reiterates guidance for $250–300 million in full-year revenue (vs. $228 million for FY 2024). Though the latest number marginally undershot analyst expectations, crucially, the company generated positive free cash flow of $13.3 million and maintained a stable gross margin (11%).

While the company is not yet profitable (EPS TTM: -$2.06, with no current P/E ratio), this is not uncommon in the capital-intensive, innovation-driven phase of commercial space development. The compelling aspect lies in its structural strengths:

• Market Leadership in Commercial Lunar Missions: Pioneering Nova-C and Nova-D platforms lead the nascent lunar delivery market, positioning the company at the heart of the next space economy.
• Strategic Diversification: Four focused business lines—lunar access, orbital services, lunar data, and infrastructure—extend revenue streams and mitigate operational risk.
• Brand and Technological Moat: Partnerships with recognized industry leaders like SpaceX, as well as NASA mission contracts, underscore trust from key stakeholders and a unique market position.

Valuation also appears increasingly attractive. The consensus target price stands at $15.69 (+31% upside from current levels), with bullish targets as high as $21.50, suggesting that the market is only beginning to price in Intuitive Machines’ strategic optionality.

Volume and Liquidity

With an average 65-day daily volume of 10.84 million shares and a free float of over 105 million shares, Intuitive Machines enjoys deep liquidity. This level of sustained volume typically indicates robust market confidence and institutional interest, further reinforcing the case for dynamic—and potentially upward—revaluations.

The capital structure lends itself well to active market participation without undue concentration risk, supporting clean price discovery and agile capital flows—helpful factors for both short-term traders and longer-term investors.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

• Transition Toward Profitability: The company targets adjusted EBITDA breakeven by Q4 2025—a clear inflection point that tends to trigger significant re-rating in growth technology names.
• Deepening Commercial Order Book: Expanding partnerships with NASA, SpaceX, and various commercial clients underpin future revenue stability.
• Major Missions and Technological Milestones: Forthcoming launches, especially the IM-3 and future Nova deployments, offer visibility and potential performance upside.
• Innovative Infrastructure Projects: Development of a lunar data satellite constellation positions the firm for leadership in the next wave of lunar and orbital data economy.
• Favorable Regulatory and Sector Developments: US and international policies are increasingly supportive of commercial partners in lunar infrastructure, accelerating the addressable market.

The market sentiment aligns with these catalysts: 77% of covering analysts currently recommend a buy rating, affirming the broadly optimistic outlook.

Investment Strategies

• Short-Term: Recent pullback to technical support ($11.93) and approaching catalyst events (Q2 earnings, mission launches) suggest a favorable entry window for momentum traders and swing investors.
• Medium-Term: Projected achievement of positive EBITDA and steady revenue ramp-up in H2 2025 create a supportive environment for trend followers seeking participation in thesis-driven re-ratings.
• Long-Term: As a structural innovator operating in a high-barrier and fast-expanding space infrastructure domain, Intuitive Machines’ leadership may yield significant asymmetric upside for investors with strategic, multi-year outlooks.

Positioning at current levels—just above critical support and ahead of milestone announcements—can enable investors to participate in potential upside moves, leveraging both technical and fundamental inflection points.

Is It the Right Time to Buy Intuitive Machines?

To encapsulate: Intuitive Machines combines a rare blend of aggressive top-line growth, deep sectoral expertise, and key partnerships validating its model at the cutting edge of lunar and orbital technology. Strong technical underpinnings, aligned with improving operational metrics and an attractive market valuation, paint the picture of a company poised for further outperformance as the next phase of the lunar economy takes shape.

With a consensus analyst price target offering significant upside, an active catalyst pipeline, and major technical support recently confirmed, the fundamentals justify renewed interest. The balance of indicators points to Intuitive Machines entering a new bullish phase for 2025, making the current period seem to represent an excellent opportunity for strategic investors to consider exposure.

Intuitive Machines stands out as a dynamic name at the intersection of technology innovation and commercial space growth, well-positioned to benefit from both near-term momentum and long-term structural trends. For those seeking fresh avenues within the technology and space sector, the outlook remains robust, authenticating Intuitive Machines as a stock to watch closely in the months ahead.

How to buy Intuitive Machines stock in AE?

Buying Intuitive Machines (LUNR) shares online is now simple, secure, and accessible for investors in the UAE through regulated brokers. You can become a shareholder by purchasing the stock outright (“spot buying”), or you can choose to trade price movements using Contracts for Difference (CFDs). Spot buying grants you direct ownership, while CFD trading allows you to speculate with leverage and advanced tools. Both options are offered on reputable trading platforms—compare key brokers further down the page to find the best fit for your needs.

Spot Buying

A cash (spot) purchase means you buy Intuitive Machines shares directly on the stock market and become a part-owner of the company. Typical broker fees for UAE residents range from AED 15–35 per order, or a fixed USD commission (e.g., around $5 per US stock order).

Important example

Example: With Intuitive Machines priced at $11.95 per share, a $1,000 investment (approx. AED 3,670) would allow you to buy about 83 shares, factoring in a $5 brokerage fee.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If the share price climbs 10% to $13.15, your holding is now worth $1,100.
Result: +$100 gross gain, or +10% return on your initial stake.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading lets you speculate on Intuitive Machines share price movements without owning the actual shares. CFDs are leveraged products: you only provide a fraction of the exposure as margin, and your gains or losses are amplified. CFD brokers charge a spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and may apply overnight financing fees if you keep positions open for more than one day.

Important example

Example: With $1,000 as your margin and using 5x leverage, you gain exposure equivalent to $5,000 in Intuitive Machines stock.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If LUNR rises by 8%, your leveraged position increases 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: +$400 on your $1,000 margin (excluding spreads and financing fees).

Final Advice

Before investing, carefully compare broker fees, trading conditions, and product offerings—costs and features can vary significantly. Your ideal method depends on your objectives: choose spot buying for long-term ownership, or CFDs for active, short-term trading with leverage. For a detailed broker comparison tailored to UAE investors, see the table further down the page. Always invest according to your risk profile and financial goals.

Our 7 tips for buying Intuitive Machines stock

The latest news about Intuitive Machines

Intuitive Machines posted robust Q1 2025 results with quarterly revenue up 14% over Q4 2024. In its latest financial disclosure, the company reported revenues of $62.5 million, representing solid sequential growth despite coming slightly below analyst consensus. Notably, free cash flow turned positive to $13.3 million, reflecting improved operational discipline. The management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance in the range of $250-300 million, emphasizing continued growth in its lunar services pipeline. This positive performance is impactful for UAE-focused analysts and investors, as it signals sustainable business expansion in the high-growth space infrastructure sector, which is also of strategic relevance for the UAE's increasingly ambitious space agenda.

The momentum in technical indicators remains favorable, supporting short and long-term upside signals for the stock. Recent technical analysis indicated a positive MACD of 0.82 and the 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages are all trending upward, suggesting a continued bullish outlook. The RSI, currently in the 61.5–64.9 range, confirms the absence of overbought signals, while the crucial support at $11.93 and resistance at $12.77 remain intact. For Middle Eastern portfolio managers seeking opportunities in emerging tech-driven industries, these signals confirm relative market resilience, even amid recent short-term corrections.

Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with 77% recommending a buy and a 31% price upside potential forecast. According to a nine-analyst consensus, Intuitive Machines’ average target price stands at $15.69—well above current trading levels. The stock’s 138% one-year gain, combined with optimistic broker coverage, underlines confidence in both operational execution and sectoral tailwinds. This is particularly noteworthy for UAE institutional investors and sovereign-linked funds that prioritize high-conviction, growth-anchored international equities within the aerospace and defense technology value chain.

The company’s strategic partnership with SpaceX for an upcoming lunar delivery mission underscores global competitiveness and enhances business credibility. In April 2025, Intuitive Machines was selected by SpaceX for a high-visibility lunar cargo mission, reinforcing its profile as a preferred supplier in commercial lunar access. This development is especially relevant in the UAE context, as it underscores potential avenues for collaboration or future procurement within the growing Emirates space ecosystem, which places a premium on deep space exploration and global technology partnerships.

Intuitive Machines’ positioning as a frontrunner in commercial lunar operations aligns with governmental and industry priorities across the Gulf, including the UAE. The company has been actively expanding its lunar data relay and infrastructure businesses, with ongoing developments in the Nova-C and Nova-D lander platforms. These advancements align with regional interests in lunar research and commercial activity, as seen in recent policy statements and development plans from the UAE Space Agency. As such, the company offers a compelling proxy for diversification and exposure to the next phase of the space economy among UAE-based investors and government stakeholders.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.